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Action plan · all proposals

Proposed by Facts Count

Link neighbourhood safety priorities to measured results

Police, council and residents pick a few specific local problems each year, use matched data to understand them, act together, and publish what was done and whether harm fell, without identifying anyone.

In five minutes

The evidence

Police recorded crime (excluding fraud): 24,163 (112.7 per 1,000 residents); England 83.4 per 1,000 (April 2025 to March 2026), Portsmouth community safety partnership area; England.

Issue: Crime and anti-social behaviour. Related findings: “Crime varies between neighbourhoods and crime types”.

Proposed by
Proposed by Facts Count A proposal, not a council decision or commitment.
Proposed lead
Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposal; not agreed)
Cost and funding
Not costed · no funding identified.
EstimateAllocatedSpentUnknown
First move
The partnership's analysts could set out, for one place already discussed at the 4-weekly meeting, the matched crime categories, Police.uk data and survey findings side by side, with their limits. This uses existing data and commits no agency to new action.
Success measure
For each chosen problem, a measured fall in harm on a matched category and place over a sustained period, fewer repeat victims or locations, and residents reporting more confidence that reports lead to action. No numeric target is set until local baselines are agreed.

Suggested stages

A proposed sequence, not deadlines or funded commitments. Starting an action is not the same as its benefits arriving.

Start soon

  • Agree a short list of candidate problems using matched sources: ONS recorded crime by category, Police.uk mapped data, council ASB records and the 2026 survey.Lead: Safer Portsmouth Partnership analysts (proposed)Output: Problem shortlist with data limits stated
  • Agree what can be published without identifying victims or suspects (small-number rules, no exact locations).Lead: Council information governance with police (proposed)Output: Publication and privacy rules
  • Map current reporting routes for crime and ASB and how residents hear back.Lead: Council community safety team with police (proposed)Output: Gap list for a feedback route

Build next

  • Run two or three problem-solving projects through the 4-weekly place meeting, each with a baseline and review date.Lead: Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Output: Project plans with matched measuresDepends on: Problem shortlist and data-sharing agreement
  • Publish a short summary for each project after review: the problem, actions, results and limits.Lead: Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Output: Public project summariesDepends on: Privacy rules
  • Add local questions on reporting confidence and feedback to the next community safety survey.Lead: Council Public Health Intelligence Team (proposed)Output: Survey questions ready for the 2028 survey

Longer term

  • Review whether the projects reduced harm and repeat victimisation without moving it elsewhere, and decide whether to make published problem-solving part of the next partnership plan.Lead: Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Output: Evaluation report and decision for the next plan

Why, and the trade-off

Police recorded 24,305 crimes in Portsmouth in the year to June 2026, 113.4 per 1,000 residents, similar to comparable cities but well above England. Some crimes, such as robbery, rose sharply in a year. In the council's 2026 survey, 77% of residents had seen or experienced anti-social behaviour, yet fewer than a quarter of incidents were reported. Partners do not publish which local problems they are working on or whether they improved.

Trade-off: Residents in the areas where people feel least safe, women, disabled people and repeat victims could gain most. Young people and people with complex needs could lose if responses rely on enforcement rather than support. Residents of quieter areas may see less attention.

Baseline Police recorded crime (excluding fraud): 24,163 (112.7 per 1,000 residents); England 83.4 per 1,000 (April 2025 to March 2026); Police recorded crime, latest 12 months: 24,305, down 1.7% from 24,718 (July 2025 to June 2026); Crime rate compared with similar areas: 112.3 per 1,000; group average 108.7; within the normal range (April 2025 to March 2026); Mapped crimes and anti-social behaviour incidents: 23,794 crimes; 2,995 anti-social behaviour incidents (September 2025 to August 2026); Residents who saw or experienced anti-social behaviour in past year: 77% (February-March 2026 survey); Repeat victimisation: Not published (None)

Full appraisal

Problem, options against the current approach, costs, risks, who gains and who pays, and how progress would be judged.

Full delivery plan: problem, options, costs, risks and how to judge progress

The problem and who is affected

Police recorded 24,305 crimes in Portsmouth in the year to June 2026, 113.4 per 1,000 residents, similar to comparable cities but well above England. Some crimes, such as robbery, rose sharply in a year. In the council's 2026 survey, 77% of residents had seen or experienced anti-social behaviour, yet fewer than a quarter of incidents were reported. Partners do not publish which local problems they are working on or whether they improved.

Who is affected: Residents, workers and visitors in the city centre, Somerstown and Buckland, where people most often feel unsafe; women, disabled people, younger adults and ethnic minority residents, who report more fear or victimisation; repeat victims; and businesses facing shop theft.

Starting point: measured figures
MeasureValuePeriodArea
Police recorded crime (excluding fraud) Rates use mid-2024 residents and overstate risk where many people visit or work.24,163 (112.7 per 1,000 residents); England 83.4 per 1,000April 2025 to March 2026Portsmouth community safety partnership area; England
Police recorded crime, latest 12 months24,305, down 1.7% from 24,718July 2025 to June 2026Portsmouth community safety partnership area
Crime rate compared with similar areas112.3 per 1,000; group average 108.7; within the normal rangeApril 2025 to March 2026Portsmouth and its most similar group
Mapped crimes and anti-social behaviour incidents Approximate locations; British Transport Police excluded; not comparable with recorded crime totals.23,794 crimes; 2,995 anti-social behaviour incidentsSeptember 2025 to August 202614 Portsmouth wards (May 2026 boundaries)
Residents who saw or experienced anti-social behaviour in past year Survey-based evidence; not a random sample.77%February-March 2026 surveyPortsmouth adults
Repeat victimisation Listed as a national outcome but no local figure found.Not publishedNonePortsmouth

What this would change

Aim: Tackle the specific local problems that harm residents most, with police, council, partners and residents agreeing what they are trying to change and checking whether it worked.

What success would mean: For each chosen problem, a measured fall in harm on a matched category and place over a sustained period, fewer repeat victims or locations, and residents reporting more confidence that reports lead to action. No numeric target is set until local baselines are agreed.

Use the partnership's existing 4-weekly place-based meeting to run a small number of problem-solving projects each year. For each: define the problem with matched categories and geography; analyse recorded crime, Police.uk data, council ASB records and survey results; choose a response (patrols, design changes, lighting, support or enforcement); set a review date; and publish a short public summary of the problem, actions and results. Add a 'you said, we did' feedback route so residents see what happened after reporting.

Proposed lead: Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposal; not agreed). Partners: Hampshire and Isle of Wight Constabulary (Portsmouth neighbourhood teams), Portsmouth City Council community safety and Safe, Clean & Tidy teams, Office of the Police and Crime Commissioner (until 2028 changes), Portsmouth City Council Public Health Intelligence Team, Residents' groups, businesses and Neighbourhood Watch, Housing providers and support services.

Powers: The council and police, as responsible authorities, must form a partnership strategy to reduce crime, disorder and anti-social behaviour (Crime and Disorder Act 1998 s.6) and must consider crime effects in all their work (s.17). Victims can request an ASB case review (Anti-social Behaviour, Crime and Policing Act 2014 s.104). Police deployment is a matter for the Chief Constable; the PCC sets the police and crime plan until 2028. The partnership cannot direct police operations or publish personal data.

Options

  • Current approach: Current approach. The 2025-2028 plan focuses on violence, drug harm, young people and complex needs. Places of concern are reviewed every four weeks but results are not published.
  • Proposed response: Published problem-solving projects. A few defined local problems each year, each with matched data, an agreed response, a review date and a public summary of results.
  • Alternative: Visibility-led approach. Concentrate extra patrols and named officers in places where people feel unsafe. Supports reassurance but may not reduce harm without problem analysis.
  • Alternative: Public dashboard only. Publish matched crime, ASB and survey data by area without changing how problems are chosen. Low cost but does not ensure action.

The choice depends on partner capacity, data sharing and what the problem analysis shows. Evidence summarised by the Home Office supports combining visible presence, engagement and problem-solving, but the right mix for each Portsmouth problem is unknown.

Delivery plan

Proposed sequence. All durations are illustrative and not agreed. The 2025-2028 partnership plan period, the 2028 survey and the 2028 change to police governance are sourced dates.
StageTaskProposed leadDependencies and decisionsOutput
Start soonAgree a short list of candidate problems using matched sources: ONS recorded crime by category, Police.uk mapped data, council ASB records and the 2026 survey.Safer Portsmouth Partnership analysts (proposed)—Problem shortlist with data limits stated
Start soonAgree what can be published without identifying victims or suspects (small-number rules, no exact locations).Council information governance with police (proposed)—Publication and privacy rules
Start soonMap current reporting routes for crime and ASB and how residents hear back.Council community safety team with police (proposed)—Gap list for a feedback route
Build nextRun two or three problem-solving projects through the 4-weekly place meeting, each with a baseline and review date.Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Depends on: Problem shortlist and data-sharing agreement · Decision: Partnership board agrees projects and any extra resourcesProject plans with matched measures
Build nextPublish a short summary for each project after review: the problem, actions, results and limits.Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Depends on: Privacy rulesPublic project summaries
Build nextAdd local questions on reporting confidence and feedback to the next community safety survey.Council Public Health Intelligence Team (proposed)—Survey questions ready for the 2028 survey
Longer termReview whether the projects reduced harm and repeat victimisation without moving it elsewhere, and decide whether to make published problem-solving part of the next partnership plan.Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)Decision: Evaluation of first projects; police governance changes after 2028Evaluation report and decision for the next plan

A first practical step: The partnership's analysts could set out, for one place already discussed at the 4-weekly meeting, the matched crime categories, Police.uk data and survey findings side by side, with their limits. This uses existing data and commits no agency to new action.

Costs and funding

One-off costs
Not costed. Analyst time to set up matched data and privacy rules.
Recurring costs
Not costed. Analyst and officer time per project; any extra patrols, lighting or design work.
Capital or revenue
Mainly revenue; physical changes such as lighting would be capital.
Funding status
No funding identified. Existing police deployment and council services are funded separately; this plan does not assume new money.
Affordability
Unknown. Depends on spare analytical and officer capacity, which is not published.
Costing still needed
Estimate analyst days per project; record officer and council time spent; price any physical changes; separate existing deployment from new spending.

Benefits, risks and trade-offs

Possible benefits: Clearer focus on the problems residents care about, better use of existing staff, and public evidence of what works. Benefits are not quantified.

Risks:

  • More patrols or reporting raise recorded crime and ASB, which could be misread as failure.
  • Problems move to nearby streets.
  • Published local data could identify victims or suspects.
  • Enforcement-led responses fall unevenly on young people or minority groups.
  • Partners lack capacity to sustain the work.
  • Police governance changes in 2028 disrupt arrangements.

Who could gain or lose: Residents in the areas where people feel least safe, women, disabled people and repeat victims could gain most. Young people and people with complex needs could lose if responses rely on enforcement rather than support. Residents of quieter areas may see less attention.

Capacity: Depends on the Public Health Intelligence Team, police analysts and neighbourhood officers. Their capacity is not published. The partnership already runs several statutory reviews and panels.

How to judge progress

Proposed measures. Gaps show where no baseline or reporting arrangement exists yet.
MeasureDefinitionStarting pointSource and areaHow often · who reports
Recorded crime by categoryPolice recorded crime excluding fraud, by ONS headline category24,305 (year to June 2026)ONS police force area data tables, Table C2 · Portsmouth community safety partnership areaQuarterly · ONS
Project-area harmMatched category counts in each project area before and after, with a comparison areaTo be set per project Gap: No baseline; reporting not agreedPolice.uk and police records · Project areaPer project review · Safer Portsmouth Partnership (proposed)
Repeat victimisationShare of victims reporting another crime within 12 monthsNot published Gap: No published local figurePolice records · PortsmouthAnnual · Hampshire and Isle of Wight Constabulary (proposed)
ASB experience and reportingShare of surveyed residents who witnessed or experienced ASB, and share who reported it77%; fewer than a quarter reported (2026)Portsmouth Community Safety Survey · Portsmouth adultsEvery two years · Portsmouth City Council Public Health Intelligence Team
Case outcomesShare of recorded crimes with a charge or summonsNot checked at Portsmouth level Gap: Local availability not confirmedHome Office outcomes open data · To be confirmed (force or partnership)Quarterly · Home Office

Reassess when: Reassess after the first project reviews, when the next strategic assessment is published, or when police governance changes in 2028.

Where things stand

What is known:

  • Police recorded 24,305 crimes in the year to June 2026, a rate similar to comparable cities.
  • Residents report high exposure to ASB and low reporting.
  • The partnership plan runs from 2025 to 2028.
  • PCCs are due to be abolished in 2028.

What is not known:

  • Local repeat-victimisation rates.
  • What the 4-weekly place meeting has achieved.
  • Local tool and van theft levels.
  • Whether outcomes data exist at Portsmouth level.
  • Whether a strategic assessment newer than 2023/24 exists.

Decisions needed:

  • Whether the partnership will publish project summaries.
  • Which problems to tackle first.
  • What data police and council will share and publish.

Existing work:

  • Safer Portsmouth Partnership Community Safety Plan 2025-2028: Current (as of 2026-11-02).
  • 4-weekly Community Tactical Coordination Group (places of concern): Operating, per partnership page (as of 2026-11-02).
  • Portsmouth Community Safety Survey 2026: Published May 2026 (as of 2026-11-02).
  • Police and Crime Plan 2024-28 (More Police, Safer Streets 2): Current (as of 2026-11-02).
  • Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee: National programme; force ASB plans published by April 2026 (as of 2026-11-02).

UK Facts context: Antisocial behaviour: experience, perception, response (National page; local action is set by Portsmouth partners.) · Crime by type, area by area (National comparison page.)

Next review: When ONS publishes crime data for the year to September 2026, or when the partnership publishes a new strategic assessment.. Evidence last checked 2026-11-02.

Sources

Police force area data tables, year ending March 2026 (Tables C2, C4, P3) ↗ · Police force area data tables, year ending June 2026 (Tables C2, C3, C4, C5, P3) ↗ · Compare your area: Portsmouth ↗ · UK Facts ward-level Police.uk mapped records for Portsmouth (data/counts/areas.json) ↗ · Police.uk open data and methods ↗ · data.police.uk changelog and known issues ↗ · Portsmouth Community Safety Survey 2026: Executive Summary ↗ · Safer Portsmouth Partnership: Our priorities and plan (Community Safety Plan 2025-2028) ↗ · Executive summary: Strategic Assessment of Community Safety 2023/24 ↗ · Police and Crime Plan 2024-28: More Police, Safer Streets 2 ↗ · Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee Performance Framework (accessible) ↗ · Crime and Disorder Act 1998, section 6 (formulation and implementation of strategies) ↗ · Crime and Disorder Act 1998, section 17 (duty to consider crime and disorder implications) ↗ · Anti-social Behaviour, Crime and Policing Act 2014, section 104 (ASB case reviews) ↗ · Police and crime commissioners to be scrapped ↗ · Community safety survey ↗ · PCC Donna Jones launches her new Police and Crime Plan 2024-2028 ↗ · Surge in neighbourhood police in communities fighting crime ↗

Where earlier ideas went

  • neighbourhood-safety (earlier 12-point plan): expanded. Whole action: now/next/longer-term steps became the delivery table; measures (matched categories, repeat victimisation, outcomes, resident experience) became the evaluation table; trade-offs moved to risks; Police.uk caveats kept in baselines and claims.

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UK-wide context

Sources